Vox Day seems to argue in The economics of polygamy that we can expect to see women push for legalization of polygamy. Part of his argument is that men have wised up to women using marriage/divorce as a wealth transference mechanism:
The question ultimately boils down to whether women of the politically active sort would prefer half of Prince Charming’s castle to the entirety of a woodcutter’s cottage. The acquisition of male assets through divorce was never going to work for long, as it only took forty years – a little less than two generations – for growing male awareness to break the traditional marital model and reduce marriage rates among the 25-34 age group from 80% to 45% and the overall rate to 52%. In less than three generations from Ronald Reagan’s signing of the California no-fault divorce law in 1969, conventional monogamous marriage will no longer be the statistical norm.
Vox doesn’t cite his source for the statistics, but they fit very closely with the 2010 Census data. I commented on his site explaining that he appeared to be misreading the data, but since I was late to the game and commenter 104 I don’t think he noticed it. Either way he didn’t respond.
As you probably already know the problem with the data he is using is it measures the percentage of the population currently married. But divorce theft doesn’t involve women being married, it involves them getting married and then divorcing. The right stat to look at would be the percent of men and women still marrying, and as I’ve shown these stats tell a very different story. As I’ve said before, marrying a woman when she is older and less hot and having her divorce you doesn’t mean you are on a marriage strike. I shared the latest census data with Vox in my comment to him:
The stats you are looking at are the percent of the population which is currently married. The change is important but doesn’t show that men are wise to divorce theft, at least initially. The vast majority of men (63%) and women (73%) still marry by their early thirties. These numbers are much higher if you look at just whites, with roughly 85% of white women having married by 35.
Either way, I don’t see men refusing to marry (if it does in fact start to happen) as the foundation for a push for polygamy. The feminists will detest the idea and the white knight useful idiots they depend on wouldn’t be willing to carry their water in this case. And even if it somehow became legal, why would wealthy men want to sign up to have their assets even more at risk?